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Arizona draws a third of its surface water from the Colorado. acres of hay (estimated) in drought (D1D4), acres of wheat (estimated) in drought (D1D4), acres of cotton (estimated) in drought (D1D4), number of sheep (estimated) in drought (D1D4), number of cattle (estimated) in drought (D1D4), percent of streamflow sites are below normal, percent of streamflow sites are above normal, percent of the Colorado River Basin has below-normal precipitation probability this month, percent of the Colorado River Basin has above-normal precipitation probability this month, Link to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's homepage, Browse by Regional Drought Early Warning System (DEWS). Learn more. Historical Observation Sites The .gov means its official. Current Observations, PAST WEATHER RECORDS This map shows the percent of normal precipitation for the past 30 days, compared to the usual conditions for the same time period averaged from 19912020. An official website of the United States government. There have been a handful of wet years, but Colorado has been in a near-constant state of droughtincluding almost eight straight years from 2001 to 2009. The Colorado River provides water to almost 40 million people in two countries, seven states, 29 federally recognized Indian tribes, and 4 million acres of farmland. Magazines, Digital The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely. In addition, to reduce the risk of Lake Powell and Lake Mead declining to critically low levels, in December 2017, the U.S. Department of the Interior called on the seven Colorado River basin states to put drought contingency plans in place before the end of 2018. Friday, August 20, 2021 By Bethany Howell On August 11 and 12, the Colorado Drought Task Force organized a Drought Tour through northwest Colorado in the Yampa River Basin to speak with producers, natural resource managers, local legislators, and other community members about the impacts of an ongoing drought in the region. Compare that to the start of June when only around 1% of the state was completely drought free. Theres something familiar about the high stakes water use drama playing out in the U.S. Southwest. Since 2000, historically dry conditions have added stress to the Colorado Rivers already over-allocated water resources. Current Hazards Due to continued, worsening conditions throughout the fall and summer, the Governor expanded the Drought Plan to Phase 3 on November 30th. The USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) conducts hundreds of surveys every year and prepares reports covering virtually every aspect of U.S. agriculture, includingagricultural commodities statistics for crops and livestock. SPC Outlooks, FORECASTS Everyone is holding out on hard decisions, hoping most of the costs will fall elsewhere, all while the actual problem gets worse for everyone. The most intense period of drought occurred the week of July 16, 2002, where D4 affected 34.37% of Colorado land. NWS It makes it a little easier to believe that weve got a real problem with soil moisture here, Udall said. Theres a good correlation, Udall said, between tree ring widths and soil moisture; wider rings indicate years that received more precipitation. A multi-agency partnership that coordinates drought monitoring, forecasting, planning, and information at national, state, and local scales. Aviation NIDIS is a multi-agency partnership that coordinates drought monitoring, forecasting, planning, and information at national, state, and local levels across the country. A multi-agency partnership that coordinates drought monitoring, forecasting, planning, and information at national, state, and local scales. Write to Alejandro de la Garza at alejandro.delagarza@time.com. The Colorado River Drought Contingency Plan was submitted to Congress by the states of Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming on March 19, 2019. This dataset blends tree-ring reconstructions and instrumental data to estimate the average summer PMDI values, which extend over 2000 years in some parts of the U.S. The USDM also incorporates ground truthing and information about how drought is affecting people, via a network of more than 450 observers across the country, including state climatologists, National Weather Service staff, Extension agents, and hydrologists. Flows in the Colorado River basin, an area that includes the Colorado River and all the rivers and streams that feed into it, have been hard hit. Drought had already pushed water levels low in 2021, but an emergency release last fall to prop up water levels in Lake Powell made an already empty reservoir even emptier. The 2020 drought will end at some point, but that appears unlikely this spring with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecasting above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation through March, April and May. Please try another search. At least 54% of the state now is experiencing drought conditions, compared to 100% this time last year. After near normal precipitation almost statewide in September . 2022 TIME USA, LLC. This map uses the gridMET and PRISM temperature datasets. Learn more. In both cases, leaders are playing a game of chicken in the face of looming disaster. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Questions? The Southwest drought has actually led to a push by tribes to address long-standing water supply issues and with good reason: Of the 30 Colorado River Basin tribes, 22 already have federally . Get timely updates on local drought conditions, outlooks, and impacts from NIDIS and its partners. Please Contact Us. This story is from The Colorado Sun, a journalist-owned news outlet based in Denver and covering the state. The USDM relies on drought experts to synthesize the best available data and work with local observers to interpret the information. Since 2000, the Colorado River basin has been experiencing a historic, extended drought that has impacted regional water supply and other resources, such as hydropower, recreation, and ecological goods and services services. Seven states rely on water from the Colorado River: Colorado, Wyoming, Utah, New Mexico, Arizona, California, and Nevada. Learn more. To better understand this drought, researchers looked at the drought history within the Colorado River . "To mitigate the harsh . Copyright 2022 Colorado Community Media, Column: What parents should know about RSV, Douglas County superintendent honored at Colorado Parent Advocacy Network launch event, Two arrested in suspected counterfeiting operation, Laydon looks to second term with optimism, Lopez to focus on election security, accessibility in new term, Arapahoe County voters signal appetite for restorative justice after Brown is reelected sheriff, Powered by Creative Circle Media Solutions. The U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) is a national map released every Thursday, showing parts of the U.S. that are in drought. Previous research indicated the current drought was the driest stretch since the 1500s. The new study, however, incorporated data from 2021, a particularly dry year, which led the current 22-year period to exceed the intense drought in the 1500s, researchers who studied tree ring data found. We have noticed you are using an ad blocking plugin in your browser. On the Western Slope, 15.89% of the state remains. Crop or pasture losses likely; water shortages common; water restrictions imposed. After being elected to a second term, Abe Laydon, who represents District 1 on the Douglas County Board of Commissioners, said there is plenty of work to do in a variety of areas from wildfire , Incumbent Democrat Joan Lopez has been elected to a new term as Arapahoe County clerk and recorder after defeating Republican challenger Caroline Cornell, according to the unofficial election . In an election cycle mired in debate over a perception of rising crime, Republican candidates had hoped to galvanize voters with allegations of mismanaged criminal policy under Democrats. Statistical shading breaks at 10th, 30th, 50th, 70th, and 90th Percentiles For more information visit: 30-Year Hydroclimatic Normals. As a result, what's happened . Please refer to theproduct documentationfor more information. Tree-rings are used to extend the instrumental record of drought to over 2000 years. "A lot of moisture we got . Since 2000, the longest duration of drought (D1D4) in Colorado lasted 395 weeks beginning on October 30, 2001, and ending on May 19, 2009. Both calamities have near-term consequences, but the bitter bargaining over who makes what sacrifices is likely to play out on a radically shorter timescale in the Southwest, where the price of inaction will hit powerful players like the agricultural sector hard and fast. My sense is that this drought is here to stay; it seems very clear to me were on that path.. The database, maintained by NOAA, contains information about both dead and live trees. Colorado Water Conservation Board| Water Availability and Flood Task Forces, Colorado Water Conservation Board | Future Avoided Cost Explorer (FACE): Hazards, Colorado Climate Center | Access Colorado Data, NDMC | Colorado Drought Planning Resources, National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office | BOU - Denver/Boulder, CO, National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office | GJT - Grand Junction, CO, National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office | GLD - Goodland, KS, National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office | PUB - Pueblo, CO, North Central Climate Adaptation Science Center, Western Water Assessment (WWA, a NOAA RISA team), National Weather Service | Colorado Basin River Forecast Center, National Weather Service | Arkansas and Red River Forecast Center, National Weather Service | Missouri River BasinRiver Forecast Center, National Weather Service | West Gulf Rivers Forecast Center. In theory, federal threats should force actionstates would rather hash out a deal themselves than let Washington decide who gets what share of the rivers dwindling flows. We request you whitelist our site. Read more here. Half of the state's rainfall is fed by the erratic southwestern monsoon, much of which evaporates or runs off. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is an index to characterize meteorological drought on a range of timescales, ranging from 1 to 72 months. Please select one of the following: Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook, U.S. Drought Monitor Classification Change, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The drought in the western U.S. could last until 2030 A searing heat wave in June 2021 made dry conditions across much of the West even worse. A drought early warning system (DEWS) utilizes new and existing networks of federal, tribal, state, local, and academic partners to make climate and drought science accessible and useful for decision makers and stakeholders. NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information produce the 9-month SPI values below on a monthlybasis, going back to 1895. The heat and ongoing drought stressed rivers like. Thats not so different from the international climate situation, where despite lofty promises, most countries are still delaying much of the difficult, urgently-needed action to cut emissions and stave off disaster (though the U.S. passage of the largest climate bill in history last week offered a welcome reprieve). View the latest drought-related news, upcoming events, and recordings and summaries of past webinars. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure youre on a federal government site. Thanks to the wet end to winter and beginning of spring, much of eastern Colorado . According to a University of Arizona study, the Colorado River supports $1.4 trillion in annual economic activityequivalent to 1/12th of total U.S. gross domestic productand 16 million jobs in Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming. Although snowpack on April 1 was either at or slightly below 100 percent of average in each of the past two years, Udall said, the spring runoff was significantly lower than expected. The colors represent realtime streamflow compared to percentiles of historical daily streamflow for the day of the year. Think of it as three significant regional droughts happening at once: 1. . Why We Shouldn't Be Celebrating the "End of Drought" in Colorado. AsRSV casescontinue to spike across parts of the U.S. with some areas nearing seasonal peak levels those typical bugs your child brings home may have you feeling on edge. They say that everyone complains and yet no one ever does anything about the weather. In advance of negotiating new Guidelines, in 2020 the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation issued a report on an assessment of effectiveness of the Guidelines. All NOAA, Possible Impacts: Going into drought: short-term dryness slowing planting, growth of crops or pastures. You have reached your limit of 4 free articles. Following a seemingly never . Cooperative Program. Historical Conditions for Denver County. Since 2008, Lake Mead and Lake Powell have been operated in accordance with the 2007 Record of Decision for the Colorado River Interim Guidelines for Lower Basin Shortages and the Coordinated Operations for Lake Powell and Lake Mead. The short-term blend combines PDSI, Z-Index, 1-month SPI, and 3-month SPI to estimate the overall short-term drought. Learn more. In the race for Arapahoe County sheriff, Republican candidate Kevin Edling highlighted that narrative in his bid to unseat Democratic incumbent Tyler Brown. But Colorado is actually trying very, very hard to do something, possibly a quite large something: Expanding decades of cloud seeding to an eighth campaign to combat the 22-year drought by wringing more snow from every storm tantalizing the biggest river basins. Learn more. Temperature data are updated daily, with a delay of 3 to 4 days to allow for data collection and quality control. 22 years of drought in Colorado Study says climate change made the current mega-drought worse Blue Mesa Reservoir in Gunnison County shows the effect of a water draw down on October 29, 2021. US Dept of Commerce The following state-specific drought impacts were compiled by theNational Drought Mitigation Center. The U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) is a national map released every Thursday, showing parts of the U.S. that are in drought. This is one of the first papers that ties soil moisture to the impacts of this drought, Udall said. The Guidelines define operating procedures during drought and low reservoir conditions to minimize shortages in the Lower Colorado basin and avoid the risk of curtailment in the Upper Colorado basin. Explore Historical Maps 2000 - Present (Weekly) 1895 - Present (Monthly) 0 - 2017 (Yearly) He used to have a herd of 201 which has now been gutted down to 40 due to the drought. The Living Blended Drought Product (LBDP) is a recalibrated data series of June-July-August Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) values in the lower 48 U.S. states. For more, and to support The Colorado Sun, visit coloradosun.com. National Integrated Drought Information System. Brad Rippey, a meteorologist with the U.S. Department of Agriculture who authored the map, said the . He used to have a herd of 201 which has now been gutted down to 40 due to the drought. Whats super intriguing is the headline finding that this is the driest 22-year period since at least 800, Brad Udall, a senior water and climate research scientist at Colorado State Universitys Colorado Water Institute, said. In 2000, the reservoir system in the basin was 95% full; as of fall 2021, the reservoirs were at 39% capacity, the lowest levels on record, according to the Department of Interior. These Guidelines remain in effect through 2025. Tell us how drought is impacting your community by submittinga condition monitoring report. The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) produces precipitation outlooks for the U.S., including 6-10 day, 8-14 day, monthly, and seasonal outlooks. Forecast Discussion Weather Records Tree-rings are used to extend the instrumental record of drought to over 2000 years. Learn more. Nearly half of Colorado has shed its drought status since last year, but the coming months don't look good. The Colorado River basin has experienced three D4 droughts in the last 20 years, including the current one. This dataset blends tree-ring reconstructions and instrumental data to estimate the average summer PMDI values, which extend over 2000 years in some parts of the U.S. Get regional and national drought updates. The Colorado River is in an extremely severe drought and has been for the last 22 years. Short-term dryness slowing planting, growth of crops. Magazines, Or create a free account to access more articles, The Colorado River Drought Is a Cautionary Climate Tale. Text Products, CURRENT CONDITIONS Increasingly, these really warm June, July, August periods have been draining soil moisture, Udall said. The map depicts streamflow conditions as computed at USGS streamgages. As with climate change, the water problem is less technical than political. The most intense period of drought occurred the week of July 16, 2002, where D4 affected 34.37% of Colorado land. This means reservoir levels will likely continue to fall, risking severe electricity and water shortages across the region. Local Climate Plots, WEATHER SAFETY Blue Mesa Reservoir in Gunnison County shows the effect of a water draw down on October 29, 2021. Congress approved the plan submitted by the states of Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming as the Colorado River Drought Contingency Plan Authorization Act on April 16, 2019. Blue Mesa is fed by the Gunnison River, one of the Colorado Rivers largest tributaries. A version of this story first appeared in the Climate is Everything newsletter. Since 2000, the longest duration of drought (D1-D4) in Colorado lasted 395 weeks beginning on October 30, 2001, and ending on May 19, 2009. La Plata County commissioners are expected to vote on the Stage 1 fire restrictions next week. DENVER It might be hard to believe how bad the drought situation is in western Colorado if you live along the Front Range. The Colorado Sun is a partner in the Colorado News Conservancy, owner of Colorado Community Media. Review), Criteria for Coordinated Long-Range Operation of the Colorado River Reservoirs, 1970, The Upper Colorado River Basin Compact of 1948, National Weather Service | Colorado Basin River Forecast Center, DOI Bureau of Reclamation | Colorado River Basin, U.S. Geological Survey | Watershed Boundary Dataset, Colorado River Basin Salinity Control Forum, International Boundary and Water Commission, DOI Bureau of Reclamation | Colorado River System Mid- to Long-Term Projections (updates continually), DOI Bureau of Reclamation | Reclamation Information Sharing Environment (RISE), EPA | WATERS (Watershed Assessment, Tracking & Environmental Results System), USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service | Watersheds, Center for Colorado River Studies at Utah State University, Concurrent Changes in Extreme Hydroclimate Events in the Colorado River Basin (2021), DOI Bureau of Reclamation | Novel Strategies for Water Management of Colorado and Green Rivers (2021), Changing Climate Drives Future Streamflow Declines and Challenges in Meeting Water Demand Across the Southwestern United States (2021), Western Water Assessment | Colorado River Basin Climate and Hydrology: State of the Science (2020), Incorporating Social-Ecological Considerations into Basin-Wide Responses to Climate Change in the Colorado River Basin (2019), Colorado River Basin Ten Tribes Partnership Water Study (2018), Comparison of U.S. Geological Survey and Bureau of Reclamation Water-Use Reporting in the Colorado River Basin (2018), Estimates of Water Use and Trends in the Colorado River Basin, Southwestern United States, 19852010 (2018), Regional Scale Estimates of Baseflow and Factors Influencing Baseflow in the Upper Colorado River Basin (2015), U.S. Geological Survey National Water Census: Colorado River Basin Geographic Focus Area Study (2015), DOI Bureau of Reclamation | Colorado River Basin Water Supply and Demand Study (2012), Get Alerts When Local Drought Conditions Change. Drought: It Happened Here. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is an index to characterize meteorological drought on a range of timescales, ranging from 1 to 72 months. The U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) is a national map released every Thursday, showing parts of the U.S. that are in drought. The SPI is the number of standard deviations that observed cumulative precipitation deviates from the climatological average. What made 2002 so unusual was that the entire state was dry at the same time. The USDM also incorporates ground truthing and information about how drought is affecting people, via a network of more than 450 observers across the country, including state climatologists, National Weather Service staff, Extension agents, and hydrologists. National Integrated Drought Information System. The revenue we receive from our advertisers helps make this site possible. Whether the regions authorities hash out the mess or else walk hand-in-hand into disaster could give us an idea of how the global climate fight will play out among the worlds biggest polluterswhether international leaders will take dramatic action before the worst crises begin, or wait to see what kinds of new, escalating peril will make the tough decisions for them. Legal Arrangements for Managing the River, Advancing Drought Early Warning through Interdisciplinary Research, National Coordinated Soil Moisture Monitoring Network, NIDIS Drought and Wildland Fire Nexus (NDAWN), National Weather Service Drought Information Statements, Temperature (30-Day Departure from Normal), USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service, Colorado River Drought Contingency Plan Authorization Act, Colorado River Drought Contingency Plan Authorization Act, 2019, Colorado River Interim Guidelines for Lower Basin Shortages and Coordinated Operations for Lake Powell and Lake Mead, 2007, Final Report of the Review of the 2007 Interim Guidelines (7.D. "The droughts that we are seeing are becoming that much more severe because of the temperature component, they're warmer," Bolinger said. To sign up, click here. Image: REDCROSS. Two men have been detained in connection with a counterfeiting operation, the Elbert County Sheriffs Office announced. Olivia Prentzel 4:02 AM MDT on Sep 10 . Coming out of drought: some lingering water deficits; pastures or crops not fully recovered, Some damage to crops, pastures; streams, reservoirs, or wells low, some water shortages developing or imminent; voluntary water-use restrictions requested, Crop or pasture losses likely; water shortages common; water restrictions imposed, Major crop/pasture losses; widespread water shortages or restrictions, Exceptional and widespread crop/pasture losses; shortages of water in reservoirs, streams, and wells creating water emergencies, HAZARDS D2. And though the federal government did announce a new round of water cuts mandated in a previous drought plan21% for Arzona, 8% for Nevada, and 7% for Mexico, which also relies on the river it didnt follow through on its threat to impose more severe water cuts in the absence of state action. The U.S. Drought Monitor is produced through a partnership between the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. NIDIS is a multi-agency partnership that coordinates drought monitoring, forecasting, planning, and information at national, state, and local levels across the country. The new study estimated that climate change driven by human causes increased the severity of the drought conditions from 2000 to 2021 by 42%. The SPI is the number of standard deviations that observed cumulative precipitation deviates from the climatological average. Spring runoff is critical to irrigated agriculture, domestic water supplies, and the recreation industry in Colorado and across the West. Not every year is warmer and drier but the overall trend is in that direction, Udall said. USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service, U.S. Drought Monitor. Learn more. Current U.S. Drought Monitor Conditions for Colorado, people in Colorado are affected by drought, driest September was in 2022, over the past 128 years, driest year to date was in 2022, over the past 128 years, Link to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's homepage, Browse by Regional Drought Early Warning System (DEWS), Advancing Drought Early Warning through Interdisciplinary Research, National Coordinated Soil Moisture Monitoring Network, NIDIS Drought and Wildland Fire Nexus (NDAWN), National Weather Service Drought Information Statements, Drought Update for the Intermountain West, Drought Status Update for the Midwest and Missouri River Basin, North Central U.S. This explains how serious the current conditions are and why weve been getting such terrible runoff out of reasonably good snowpack.. The mighty Colorado River serves as an economic artery of the region, powering massive hydroelectric dams and supplying water to farmers and rapidly growing cities across the region. Colorado has experienced widespread, severe drought since the late 1800s. Severe Drought. When factoring in climate change, the current drought lasted through a 30th year in 75% of the soil moisture simulations the researchers conducted. The U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) is updated each Thursday to show the location and intensity of drought across the country. Whats more, this new research finds that although there would have been a drought anyway, climate change made it considerably worse. A circle with the radius of 20 pixels identifies: A circle with the radius of 16 pixels identifies: A circle with the radius of 12 pixels identifies: A circle with the radius of 8 pixels identifies: The Colorado River provides water to almost 40 million people in two countries, seven states, , the Colorado River supports $1.4 trillion in annual economic activity, equivalent to 1/12th of total U.S. gross domestic product. and 16 million jobs in Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming. The .gov means its official. The USDM is a joint effort of the National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA, and NOAA. And its likely were going to continue to see these crummy years of runoff even if we have OK snowpack., The dramatic trend of hotter and drier conditions across the southwest means we have to work harder and faster on solutions that meet the moment, said Bart Miller, healthy rivers program director at the nonprofit Western Resource Advocates. 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